
Fantasy Football ADP Risers and Fallers: Niners Rise as Chiefs Fall
Matt LaMarca breaks down the biggest risers and fallers in fantasy football ADP over the last seven days as we continue to digest news out of NFL training camps.
We had our first real taste of football this week, with NFL training camps officially in full swing. That brought with it the first real actionable news dump of the season. We’ve already seen a couple of big injuries, which have had a legitimate impact on fantasy football ADPs. Conversely, we’ve also seen a few players who appear further along than expected on their recovery timelines, which has sent them shooting up draft boards.
As usual, let’s dive into the biggest risers and fallers on Underdog over the past seven days, starting with some big developments out in San Francisco.
Risers in Fantasy Football ADP
De’Zhaun Stribling | SF | WR (+24.7 spots)
The biggest news to start training camp involves Ricky Pearsall. It was reported that he was dealing with swelling in his knee, and that the team was ultimately concerned about it. Turns out that concern was founded. Pearsall was subsequently placed on season-ending IR, so the 2024 first-round pick will have been limited to just 20 total games through his first three seasons. It remains to be seen if he’ll ever be the player he was expected to be in San Francisco.
However, Pearsall’s loss is the rest of the receiving corps’ gain. Stribling was a controversial selection at pick No. 33 in the 2026 NFL Draft, but he has already started to turn some heads in San Francisco. Brock Purdy recently christened Stribling as a “baller,” and his path to playing time as a rookie just got a whole lot clearer.
Stribling’s stock got a bit of cold water dumped on it with the re-signing of Deebo Samuel (+21.3 spots; second-biggest riser of the week), but he’s now clearly worth considering in the later stages of drafts. He’s up to WR56 in our consensus fantasy football rankings.
Kaelon Black | SF | RB (+13.4 spots)
Unfortunately, wide receiver wasn’t the only position with some negative news for the 49ers this week. Jordan James suffered a fractured rib on Monday, and he’s expected to miss some time.
James was expected to compete with Black for the backup RB job in San Francisco, and the third-round rookie now has the inside track for the job. Isaac Guerendo is also currently sidelined, leaving Black as the last man standing behind Christian McCaffrey.
If Black can second the No. 2 role, it has the potential to be extremely lucrative. McCaffrey just turned 30 years old, and he’s coming off a season with a league-leading 413 touches (excluding playoffs). McCaffrey hasn’t exactly been the picture of health throughout his NFL career, so he’s at high risk of an injury at some point in 2026-27. If Black were to get some spot starts for San Francisco, he could put together some start-worthy weeks in all formats.
Kayshon Boutte | NE | WR (+12.3 spots)
The Patriots have not had any injuries to their receiving corps during training camp. Rather, Boutte has risen up boards due to some good ole’ fashioned buzz. He has been one of the standouts of Patriots’ camp, turning in highlight catches in each of the first few days.
Boutte was already someone who I was personally high on in Best Ball. Even with A.J. Brown and Romeo Doubs in the fold, Boutte should still serve as a downfield threat for New England. He had a massive 17.7-yard aDOT last season, so he doesn’t need a ton of opportunities to potentially turn in a big play. There should still be some spike weeks for Boutte, even if his overall numbers take a slight hit.
Fallers in Fantasy Football ADP
Braelon Allen | NYJ | RB (-5.2 spots)
Allen entered training camp as the presumed No. 2 running back for the Jets. However, it sounds as though he has some legit competition for that spot. Isaiah Davis is reportedly pushing him for that role, which makes Allen’s fantasy value a bit tenuous.
When all three of the Jets’ RBs are healthy, it’s hard to see Allen’s path to relevance. Breece Hall will be the team’s preferred early-down option, while Davis is the better pass catcher. It leaves Allen as the potential power back for an offense that isn’t expected to score a lot of touchdowns. That’s not the most inspiring role for fantasy purposes.
Allen would still have some value if Hall were to go down with an injury, but it doesn’t seem like there’s any path to becoming a bell-cow running back. There are better late-round flyers at the position.
Emmett Johnson | KC | RB (-5.0 spots)
Johnson is another RB who has lost some luster this week. He was a fifth-round pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, so he was expected to be the backup to Kenneth Walker this season. If Walker were to suffer an injury, Johnson could’ve been sharing a backfield with Patrick Mahomes.
However, Emari Demercado has emerged as the favorite to secure the No. 2 role in Kansas City. The Chiefs are reportedly very high on him, making him the preferred backup to target in this backfield. Demercado could also be in the mix on passing downs, which has never been a huge part of Walker’s game.
Demercado is barely being drafted at this point, and I’d rather have him as a late-round option than Johnson. Our rankers aren’t necessarily in agreement quite yet, but that could change before the start of the regular season.
Xavier Worthy | KC | WR (-3.0 spots)
Sticking with the Chiefs, Worthy went down with a shoulder injury on Saturday and ultimately had to be carted off the field. That was a scary moment, but it seems as though he avoided disaster. The injury is not considered serious, despite the fact that it was to the same shoulder that plagued him throughout last year.
If Worthy is available at a slight discount because of that injury scare, I’m happy to take advantage. Before exiting, Worthy had reportedly been impressive during OTAs and minicamp. He still catches passes from Mahomes, and while the Chiefs’ offense hasn’t been all that impressive over the past few seasons, he should have plenty of opportunities to make plays in 2026-27.
Players Mentioned in this Article
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